Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 4.020916 4.786722 5.638709 6.653956 7.827754 9.139068 10.711658
2025-09-28 2.883655 3.856337 5.049864 6.610229 8.583051 10.979917 14.096123
2025-10-05 2.362737 3.473722 4.948618 7.022693 9.831987 13.468283 18.487603
2025-10-12 1.944793 3.106665 4.757923 7.228639 10.773589 15.607663 22.612656
2025-10-19 1.666936 2.865333 4.673069 7.526352 11.825289 17.949163 27.187584
2025-10-26 1.388698 2.560120 4.429580 7.531079 12.419158 19.664601 30.998770
2025-11-02 1.120879 2.214374 4.058423 7.268724 12.550459 20.678883 33.833391
2025-11-09 0.912465 1.927054 3.730650 7.016602 12.644042 21.610126 36.578601
2025-11-16 0.784230 1.759889 3.578684 7.029375 13.151721 23.206510 40.451468
2025-11-23 0.678943 1.615634 3.443097 7.046015 13.654294 24.817791 44.447935
2025-11-30 0.581857 1.468144 3.277011 6.980173 13.995060 26.172320 48.102967
2025-12-07 0.474891 1.276346 2.992787 6.649523 13.814620 26.609425 50.228043
2025-12-14 0.409670 1.167912 2.865812 6.617450 14.197532 28.082636 54.286537
2025-12-21 0.353713 1.069554 2.744839 6.581359 14.567706 29.561324 58.463886
2025-12-28 0.336422 1.065829 2.833079 6.994592 15.859604 32.820382 66.049554
2026-01-04 0.307232 1.023970 2.826743 7.200537 16.749222 35.386998 72.530895
2026-01-11 0.286317 1.000488 2.860148 7.497454 17.850792 38.429404 80.079649
2026-01-18 0.252584 0.931732 2.771205 7.502234 18.333090 40.300472 85.529462
2026-01-25 0.211509 0.829766 2.580287 7.240790 18.211054 40.962468 88.693866
2026-02-01 0.177189 0.739608 2.404105 6.989533 18.081525 41.590388 91.817589
2026-02-08 0.157264 0.692481 2.337507 7.002265 18.547910 43.466559 97.519183
2026-02-15 0.139906 0.649626 2.275696 7.018848 19.022801 45.388852 103.421453
2026-02-22 0.122324 0.600693 2.187339 6.953232 19.294821 46.894506 108.554677